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Informist, Monday, Oct. 27, 2025

 

MUMBAI – Soybean futures prices in the Chicago Board of Trade surged to a five-month high following reports of progress in US-China trade negotiations. The uptick in prices comes on the back of anticipation that China will resume imports of US soybeans as both nations appear to be nearing a resolution to their ongoing trade dispute, which significantly impacted American soybean farmers. Prices hit a five-month high of $10.84 per bushel on Monday, up over 2% from the previous close.

 

The potential trade deal will lead to increased demand for US soybeans and possible relief for American soybean farmers, according to ScanX, a stock market screening and analysis platform. American and Chinese negotiators have reached agreements on agricultural products. President Donald Trump and Chinese Prime Minister Xi Jinping are expected to finalise a deal at the upcoming Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea, it said.

 

China's soybean imports from the US fell to zero last month for the first time in seven years, according to a report by Commerzbank. China, the largest soybean importer, continued to source the vast majority of its soybean imports from Brazil in September, it said. Brazil's shipments of soybeans to China rose by 30% year-on-year to 10.96 million tonnes, it said. About 85% of China's total soybean imports in September came from Brazil. Argentina supplied 1.17 million tonnes, almost double the previous year's figure and accounting for 9% of total imports.

 

Without a quick resolution to the current trade conflict between the US and China, US soybean exporters risk losing their most important customer, according to the report. China normally sources most of its soybean imports from the US between November and March. Without these imports, China could face a soybean shortage in a few months' time when supplies from South America dry up before the new crop comes onto the market there in April, it said.

 

Meanwhile, the potential trade deal between the US and China could affect the global soybean market. If China resumes substantial purchases of US soybeans, it may lead to potential price changes in the global soybean market and possible relief for American soybean farmers, according to ScanX.  End

 

US$1 = INR 88.24

 

Reported by Taniva Singha Roy

Edited by Saji George Titus

 

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